Thursday, June 07, 2018

The Democratic Blue Wave is Fizzling Out


To me it seems evident that the democratic tide is ebbing. I am not at all happy with this but I see signs all around me as this article reflects. I suspect that Trump's PR campaign- - - as tacky as it is- - is working. People are buying it. they aren't buying Stephanie Miller and her commentary or any other liberal talk show host's commentary. We see it in Muller's apparent "stalling out" and I'm afraid he's just going to end the investigation without any more indictment and make some lame excuse about it. I'm not sure Muller has the guts. You see in in Cox coming in second in California giving the Republicans some kind of hope in taking over the governor'sship. People are just "getting tired" of the scandals and would prefer to imagine they weren't there. A sub class of that is "Trump has established the New Normal". Just think about that one a bit. As much as liberals say we need the liberal agenda- - the average heartland American just doesn't want it because they are convinced "There's nothing in it for them". FOX news has done its brainwashing job well. The democrats have been losers for ten years and there is no indication that THIS trend is abaiting.

Is a “blue wave” really coming to sweep Republicans out of office?

For a while, it seemed Democrats were poised for a historic election that would bring them back into power in one or both chambers of Congress.

At one point last December, a CNN/SSRS poll gave Democrats a whopping 18-point advantage in the generic ballot. (Polls like this ask voters if they are likely to pick a Democrat or Republican for Congress.) As the Times pointed out, a 13-point advantage would be comparable to or larger than the one Democrats had when they retook the House and Senate in 2006.

Other factors seemed to suggest that things were moving in Democrats’ favor. A record number of House Republicans — including Speaker Paul Ryan — have announced their decisions to retire in lieu of facing battles for reelection.

But with midterm primaries underway, some of that early momentum appears to be flagging. In light of booming economic growth, Republicans are starting to make some inroads of their own, including narrowing voter margins on the generic ballot and a steady rise in President Donald Trump’s approval ratings. The electoral math on a number of crucial districts is also beginning to look tougher for vulnerable Democrats, with relatively safe states like Florida and Ohio emerging as possible battlegrounds.

“The blue wave may not be crashing, but its seeming inevitable ascendancy has certainly flattened out,” says Tim Malloy, an assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Our surveys show the president’s numbers rising, gradually building on a surging economy.”

I talked to 11 experts to get their take on the likelihood of a blue wave actually coming to fruition. Here’s what I learned.

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